Tennis Tips – Australian Open Day 1 Tips

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Best Bet

Bonzi vs Norrie Over 36.5

Total Games

$1.85

Benjamin Bonzi has been in ordinary form of late, but he’s performed in big matches over the last 12 months including reaching the third-round of the US Open including beat Daniil Medvedev in the first-round.

Norrie enters this as a short-priced favourite, but the Brit hasn’t had an incredible lead-up and from his last five completed matches at hard court majors, all five has gone over these total games line.

Bonzi beat Norrie just over a year ago in Metz – think this will be much tighter than the price suggests.

Next Best

Bublik vs Brooskby Over 35.5

Total Games

$1.82

Now inside the top-ten for the first time in his career, what type of Alexander Bublik will we get now when he faces Jenson Brooksby.

Brooksby, the American, is one of the most unconventional players on tour and this will be far from regulation for Bublik.

The Kazakh has always been super-talented, but is temperamental. The only time these two met it was Brooksby that won at the Canada Masters in 2022 – the American is ranked inside the top-50 off the back of a strong 2025 where he started the year outside the top-1000. This could go the distance.

Zachary Svajda

Match

$1.72

Has played most of his tennis on the challenger circuit over the last six months, but Zachary Svajda is 29-7 since June last year, including advancing through qualifying in Washington to the second-round, and taking a set off Djokovic at last year’s US Open.

Cruised through qualifying without dropping a set, and looks the goods when he faces veteran German Yannick Hanfmann.

Hanfmann has had close to no lead-in to the Australian Open, losing in the first-round in Brisbane. Much prefer the form-line of the American here.

Anastasia Potapova -2.5

Game Handicap

$1.72

I generally don’t love backing Anastasia Potapova as you don’t know what you’ll get on any given day, but I couldn’t resist the price and game handicap in this.

The Russian’s opponent is Dutchwoman Suzan Lamens, whose record is 24-30 over the last 52 weeks including 14-20 on hard courts, where she’s won three of her last 13 matches while dropping her last five matches leading into the Australian Open.

Happy to ignore the Russian’s efforts in Adelaide and back her in to over against the out-of-form, underdone Lamens.

Value Bet

Elena-Gabriela Ruse

Match

$2.10

The Romanian has been around for a long time now, with her ranking floating between 50 and 100 for most of her career.

But what Elena-Gabriela Ruse has in her favour in this first-round matchup with Dayana Yastremska is her record against the Ukrainian.

Ruse leads Yastremska 3-0 across their career, beating the Ukrainian as the lower ranked player in their last two matches including US Open qualifiers in 2023.

Yastreamska is far from her 2024 form where she reached the Australian Open Semi Final – happy to back the Romanian in as the underdog.

Multi

Cerundolo (M) / Svajda (M) / Tiafoe (M) / Alexandrova (W) / Svitolina (W) / Potapova (W) = $6.93