The smell of spring is in the nostrils with the Group 2 PB Lawrence Stakes to be run at Caulfield on Saturday. The track will be soft, just how soft depending on how much rain falls.
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Capper Thirtynine put the writing on the wall for another good preparation with an excellent first up run at Flemington. Despite the 62Kg he nearly caused a big upset although there was some money to suggest he would run well. The horse was on a real upward spiral towards the end of last prep and dropping 8Kg into this race he can record a deserved win.
Recommended Price: $3.40
Confidence Level: 4/5
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From The Block has been an absolute revelation since returning from Hong Kong and joining the Jolly stable. The gelding has won all three starts in South Australia, one of them by a huge margin but all comfortably. He now has to step up in class across the border, but with Craig Williams up he looks well up to it.
Recommended Price: $5.50
Confidence Level: 3.5/5
Interesting that the Waterhouse/Bott stable have sent this filly down to take on the Quezette Stakes and it may have something to do with the fact she has run well here before in the Blue Diamond Stakes. Trial form solid and should lead and take running down.
Recommended Price: $6.00
Confidence Level: 3/5
Happy to play Yellow Sam in the PB Lawrence at a price. The mare is far from the classiest runner here but she does have a big advantage relative to the field – recent race fitness. History says that time and again in these early spring weight for age races, it can prove a decisive advantage. Great each way bet.
Recommended Price: $15
Confidence Level: 3/5
Forgot You hasn’t won since Cup Day 2023 but he does look really well placed. He followed up his third placing two starts back at huge odds with a close second here last time out. Critically, he draws to get the absolute gun run here and can prove too strong with a fitness edge over key rivals.
Recommended Price: $6.50
Confidence Level: 3.5/5
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