NRL Tips - St George Illawarra v North Queensland

St George Illawarra were humiliated last week by the Dolphins and returning home there is no better spot to bet a team to bounce back.

Best Bet

St George Illawarra +7.5

Line

Bet Now

$1.90

The betting in this game is absolutely stunning. Recency bias – it is a wonderful thing!

The Dragons were so hot after their Round 1 win that they were sent out interstate favourites against the Dolphins. They were humiliated 38-0. The Cowboys were another impressive Round 1 team but failed to flatter in their golden point win over Newcastle last week.

By all intents, this game should be pick ’em – perhaps the Cowboys marginally favoured. Yet the Dragons get 7.5 points – and the game is at Kogarah!

Early season home underdogs of more than a try cover at 65%. Home teams off a loss of 38 or more cover at 62%. Interstate favourites of four or more in the first four rounds cover at just 31%.

With the Cowboys poor travellers and Shane Flanagan renowned as a bounceback coach, this has all the hallmarks of a huge Dragons showing.

Same Game Multi

Kyle Feldt Try/Mikaele Ravalawa Try

Same Game Multi

Bet Now

$4.00

Kyle Feldt has 15 tries in his last 15 games and this is a good matchup against slow defender Mikaele Ravalawa.

Mikaele Ravalawa is the top Dragons tryscorer. If he fails to score in this game it will be his first three-game try drought since Round 11 2022.

Value Bet

Kyle Flanagan

To Score A Try

Bet Now

$5.50

Kyle Flanagan is not blessed with a ton of speed but he is a crafty player who has 12 tries in 73 starts in the halves. He was a good tryscorer in NSW Cup last year. Considering how poor the Cowboys middles were last week, he is nice value to score.

Follow Betseeker for weekly expert NRL tips and predictions for the 2023 NRL season.

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.