Pacific Championships – New Zealand v Samoa – Pacific Cup Final 2025

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Best Bet

New Zealand -3.5

Line

$1.90

New Zealand and Samoa have both enjoyed very good 2025 Pacific Cup campaigns.

The Kiwis opened up with a close win against Samoa before annihilating Tonga last week 40-14 in a game they took the foot off the pedal early.

Samoa lost no admirers in their clash with New Zealand and then downed Tonga 34-6.

The loss of Jeremiah Nanai for Samoa is critical. He is one of their best attacking weapons. New Zealand remain unchanged.

Happy to be with the more consistent New Zealand here. They are 6-0 all-time against Samoa with four of those being by 18-plus. The Kiwis won 50-0 when the teams met last before this Pacific Cup and then covered when the teams meet a month back.

The Kiwis have lost just once since 2018 to a team not called Australia. Happy to bet on the class and stability of the Kiwis here.

Same Game Multi

Casey McLean Try/Deine Mariner Try/Isaiah Papalii Try

Same Game Multi

$13.00

Casey McLean has been an elite tryscorer this year with 16 tries in 23 games and has seven tries in three Tests.

Deine Mariner has 29 tries in 40 games the last two years.

Isaiah Papalii finished the season scoring in five of his last seven games and has turned into a quality tryscoring edge.

Value Bet

Dylan Brown

To Score A Try

$3.50

Dylan Brown endured a mixed season where his form was atrocious, he got dropped to reserve grade and left the Eels in less-than-ideal circumstances but did sign a 10-year deal with the Knights that will set him up for life. Brown has historically been a strong tryscoring No.6 and he scored the match-winner against Samoa. He followed it up with a double against Tonga. It is stunning he is north of $3 into this one.

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