Serious injuries to Luke Metcalf and Mitch Barnett, along with other key outs, has the Warriors in serious danger of a southward fall and that has them vulnerable to a Tigers shock this week.
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Best Bet
There may be a big difference in the ladder positions of the Warriors and the Tigers and New Zealand get the benefit of home field advantage but this line is utterly preposterous.
The Warriors have been hit hard by injury with Mitch Barnett and Luke Metcalf ruled out for the season while Charnze Nicoll-Klokstaad will miss time. The loss of Metcalf cannot be underestimated. He has been the Warriors’ best player, the starting point in all that has been good from the Warriors. They are extremely vulnerable without him.
This is also not a great spot for the Warriors. They have won eight straight against the Tigers but six of those have been by eight or fewer. The Warriors are 7-14 ATS at Mt Smart when favoured by four while they are 2-10 ATS laying eight or more.
The Tigers are 7-3 ATS getting a start of four or more while they have covered four of five getting a start of eight. They have also covered five of seven interstate.
The Tigers are a tremendous bet every which way this week.
Same Game Multi
Latu Fainu is settling into the top grade nicely and has shown a penchant for scoring with five tries in 16 games including three in seven this season.
Chanel Harris-Tavita is enjoying his best season and he has scored five tries in 15 matches in 2025.
Value Bet
Alex Seyfarth is not a renowned tryscorer but he is enjoying his best tryscoring season since his debut in 2020 with four tries in 16 matches. He starts from the bench but scored his last try starting from the pine. He has tries in two of his last three games. He will be huge odds.
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