NRL Tips - Warriors v Roosters

The Roosters are the darling of pre-season futures punters but the Warriors should not be underestimated as a big home underdog.

Best Bet

New Zealand +4.5

Line

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$1.90

The New Zealand Warriors are the best bet of Round 1 getting 4.5 points at home against the Sydney Roosters.

Home underdogs of a try or more in the opening four rounds cover at 66%. Round 1 favourites cover at just 41% with that number falling to 38% when there is an interstate favourite.

The Warriors are the natural starting point and a few other angles only solidify that position.

The Roosters are typically slow starters with Trent Robinson teams covering at just 36% in Round 1.

The Warriors have covered seven of their last 10 as an underdog at Mt Smart while they are 12-4 against the spread getting a start of at least four.

Chips in the Warriors.

Same Game Multi

Under 41.5/Roger Tuivasa-Sheck Try/Daniel Tupou Try

Same Game Multi

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$12.00

The under hits at 78% in the opening four rounds the last five seasons when a team plays interstate.

Roger Tuivasa-Sheck comes off his best tryscoring season ever where he scored 12 times in 19 games.

Daniel Tupou is fourth on the all-time tryscoring list and has 40 tries in 48 games across the last two seasons.

Value Bet

Chanel Harris-Tavita

To Score A Try

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$4.25

Chanel Harris-Tavita is a highly underrated player who comes off a super tryscoring season where he crossed eight times in 24 games. He scored twice in the first three games last year with one of those coming against the Roosters. He is always over the odds in games the Warriors are a chance.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.