New Zealand gave up a humiliating 70 against the Storm on Monday but they are primed to bounce back this week against the Raiders in Redcliffe.
Best Bet
New Zealand +1.5 ($1.90)
One angle to follow when betting the NRL: a team given a truly humiliating loss typically bounces back the following week, at least relative to market expectations. That makes the Warriors an outstanding bet this week.
Teams off conceding 60 or more points since 2008 are 20-11 against the spread. Those off a loss of 50 cover at 60%. This is just a prime spot to be with the Warriors, who have covered 5 of 7 off a loss of 30-plus and have covered three straight day games.
Confidence rises when it is factored in that the Raiders have covered just five of 19 away from Canberra Stadium and just two of nine off scoring 12 or fewer.
Chips in New Zealand.
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Same Game Multi
New Zealand Win/Euan Aitken Try ($6.00)
The Warriors are huge overs and should be favourites in this one.
Euan Aitken has scored nine tries in 21 games at the Warriors and has been potent on the edge.
Value Bet
Jesse Arthars Try ($3.50)
Jesse Arthars has been one of the few Warriors backs who can hold his head up this year. Arthars has scored three tries this season and has three tries in three games against teams who missed the Top 8 last year.
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