NRL Tips – Warriors v Panthers

The Warriors and the Panthers could well be meeting on the first Sunday in October with this clash critical to the makeup of the Top 4.

Best Bet

New Zealand +4.5

Line

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$1.90

Unquestionably the match of the round, New Zealand host Penrith in a match that will have major ramifications on the makeup of the Top 4 and on who wins the minor premiership.

Penrith have been the best team all season but it is worth noting that over the last six weeks they have been middle of the pack in both scoring and defence. New Zealand, meanwhile, have had the best defence over that timeframe.

The Warriors certainly look to be in a good spot here.

Home underdogs off a win cover at 58% while home outsiders of at least a try off a double digit win cover at 67%.

The Warriors are 25-13 ATS as an underdog with a 6-3 cover record as an outsider at Mt Smart.

Penrith have failed to cover their last five interstate and have covered just three of 11 at night.

The value is with the Warriors.

Same Game Multi

Under 41.5/Tom Jenkins Try/Alofiana Khan-Pereira Try

Same Game Multi

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$10.00

The under has hit in nine of the last 12 meetings between these two sides with the under 21-9 when Penrith play a Top 4 opponent.

Tom Jenkins is having an historic season with 28 tries in 19 games.

Alofiana Khan-Pereira has 65 tries in 65 games, scoring in each of his three games against Penrith.

Value Bet

Jacob Laban

To Score A Try

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$6.00

Jacob Laban is enjoying a breakout season for the Warriors and it has resulted in four tries in his 18 games. He was a prolific scorer in the lower grades and he runs a great line. He will also be running against Izack Tago and Jack Cogger, what will be the weaklink in the Panthers defensive setup.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.