NRL Tips - Warriors v Panthers - Finals Week 1 2025

The Warriors season has cratered over the backend of the year but they can put up some resistance against a Panthers team chasing five straight titles.

Best Bet

Warriors +10.5

Line

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$1.90

Penrith’s charge towards an historic fifth-straight premiership begins in Auckland on Saturday and even though they look to get a very appetising matchup on paper against a Warriors team desperately out of form, this will be no walkover with New Zealand capable of keeping this one close.

If the Warriors are ever going to get up for a game, this will be it.

This is a great spot for Andrew Webster’s team too. They have covered 15 of their last 19 as an underdog with a 12-4 cover record when getting a start of at least a try. The Warriors have covered seven of 10 off a loss and nine of 13 off conceding 26-plus.

Penrith are in an unusual spot in the bottom half of the eight. They are 6-10 ATS when favoured on the road by eight or more points while they are 6-9 ATS off scoring 40-plus.

Confidence is low but suspect the Warriors are the bet here.

Same Game Multi

Paul Alamoti Try/Casey McLean Try/Roger Tuivasa-Sheck Try

Same Game Multi

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$8.00

Paul Alamoti has loved his move to Penrith with 20 tries in 32 games with at least one try in his last five NRL appearances.

Casey McLean has nine tries in his last seven games and is going as well as any centre in the competition.

Roger Tuivasa-Sheck has seven tries in his last 10 games.

Value Bet

Izack Tago

To Score A Try

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$3.00

Izack Tago looks like he will be the beneficiary of Rocco Berry’s injury with Kurt Capewell shifted to the centres. Capewell has missed more tackles than any player in the competition this year so Tago won’t get a better chance to score. Tago has three tries in his last seven games.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.