NRL Tips - Warriors v Eels

The Warriors have their Top 4 fate I their own hands and need to keep on winning if they are to secure a second bite at the cherry in September.

Best Bet

Parramatta +4.5

Line

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$1.85

To truly understand where the Warriors are at right now, we need to go back a month. The Warriors were at home and leading against a Dolphins team that had lost Herbie Farnworth before blowing the match in the final minute.

Since then the Dolphins have conceded 160 points in three games with losses of 52, 10 and 28. They have been an unmitigated disaster. Yet the Warriors butchered a lead against this same team. The fact is this Warriors team is going no good – even after rolling the Titans last week. Tanah Boyd is a poor halfback, the right edge defence is a debacle ad James Fisher-Harris has never played worse footy.

The Eels have been mixing form but are a much better proposition with Mitchell Moses in the team. Since his return, Parramatta are 3-2 with both losses coming by six or fewer.

The Eels have won five of the last six against the Warriors and this is a bad spot for a New Zealand team not going well. They have covered just seven of 22 as a favourite and seven of 21 off scoring 30-plus.

Same Game Multi

Josh Addo-Carr Try/Roger Tuivasa-Sheck Try

Same Game Multi

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$3.40

Josh Addo-Carr has been brilliant since joining the Eels with 15 tries in 20 matches.

Roger Tuivasa-Sheck has 11 tries in 16 matches this year and will take full advantage of Zac Lomax.

Value Bet

Will Penisini

To Score A Try

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$3.35

Will Penisini has his defensive frailties but he is a strong runner of the ball and should fancy his chances against the Warriors. He has 35 tries in 98 games but just five this year so is due some positive regression. Three of those tries have come in the last six weeks.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.