NRL Tips – Warriors v Dragons

The Warriors are set to go off the biggest favourites of Round 20 but don’t sell the Dragons short as they come off a much-needed win.

Best Bet

St George Illawarra +15.5

Line

Bet Now

$1.90

The Warriors and Dragons are operating in very different spheres this season but this line does seem excessive making St George Illawarra a bet getting the big number.

The key to this one is how poor the Warriors are when favoured by a big number. The Warriors have covered just one of 12 when favoured by double digits. At Mt Smart, New Zealand are 1-9 ATS as a 10-point or bigger favourite. Double digit favourites taking on a team off a win cover at just 41%.

New Zealand are also a poor 8-18 against the spread when favoured at Mt Smart.

St George Illawarra have covered five of their last six on the road while they have covered eight of nine interstate as a double digit underdog. The Dragons have covered eight of 11 getting a start of 14 or more.

The Dragons are a confident bet.

Same Game Multi

Under 47.5/Tyrell Sloan Try/Valentine Holmes Try

Same Game Multi

Bet Now

$17.00

The under has hit in nine of the last 11 Warriors-Dragons games with the last five all finishing 42 or fewer.

Tyrell Sloan has five tries in his last five games as a starter.

Valentine Holmes has turned his season around with six tries in his last five games.

Value Bet

Alofiana Khan-Pereira

To Score 2+ Tries

Bet Now

$3.30

No player turns one try into two better than Warriors speedster Alofiana Khan-Pereira. AKP has 64 tries in 63 premiership games with 23 doubles. Since moving to the Warriors, he has five doubles in nine games.

Follow Betseeker for weekly expert NRL tips and predictions for the 2026 NRL season. Check out Betseeker’s best betting sites and new betting sites to place your NRL bets!

Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.