Dubbed the ‘Spoon Bowl’ by many, Gold Coast are very short-priced favourites to roll South Sydney but look a little too short to trust.
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Best Bet
If there is one edict to live by in Rugby League betting it is never take the Titans when they are favoured by more than a converted try. That leaves South Sydney as a clear bet this week even if they are banged up.
Gold Coast have a diabolical record when favoured, covering just four of their last 13. They are 1-4 ATS when favoured by 6.5 or more. It is always smart to take on bottom five teams as heavy favourites too with those teams favoured by over a try 7-21 ATS the last four years.
Day conditions don’t suit the Titans with with five covers in 15 day matches.
Souths have been brutalised by injury but look to have plenty back this week with Latrell Mitchell, Jamie Humphreys and Brandon Smith among the cohort to play.
This is a super bounce back spot for Souths with teams off conceding 60-plus 20-4 ATS. Souths have covered nine of 15 getting a try.
Chips in the Bunnies.
Same Game Multi
Alofiana Khan-Pereira is an elite tryscorer who has been dreadfully mistreated by Des Hasler. He has scored a double in each of his last three games.
Alex Johnston is on the verge of becoming the greatest tryscorer. He has multi-try games in four of his 12 against the Titans.
Value Bet
Jacob Host is not the most reliable player but he is starting on an edge and does run a decent line. He has four tries in his last 31 games and does get a positive matchup here. Worth a speck.
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