Penrith have won seven straight and are back to their defensive best but look to be laying too many points on the road to the Titans.
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The Titans are anchored in the bottom four while the Panthers are arguably the hottest team in the competition on the back of seven straight wins. This line is too big though and with the record of big home underdogs at this time of year, they look a nice play getting 13.5 points.
Double digit home underdogs from Round 20 onwards over the last decade cover at a clip of 65%. In the last four seasons, the home double digit underdog after Round 20 is 12-3 ATS.
The Titans have been very good playing with a big start too, covering 12 of 19 getting a start of eight points.
This may be a letdown spot for Penrith too. They are 6-12 ATS when favoured by 10 or more points while they are 4-11 ATS off scoring 30-plus.
The Titans getting the big start look the play.
Same Game Multi
Phillip Sami is having a super tryscoring season with 12 to date.
Izack Tago has scored in his last two and has a try in one of his two games against the Titans.
Value Bet
Jayden Campbell is a jackrabbit of a player and his unpredictability is exactly the kind of player that most gives Penrith trouble. He has only played the Panthers twice but did score when the teams meet at the end of 2024. He looks a nice price this week.
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