Gold Coast are being disrespected far too much this week at home against Brisbane, being given an obscenely large start that makes them one of the best bets of the week.
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Best Bet
The best bet of Round 5 is unquestionably the Gold Coast Titans getting a huge start north of two converted tries at home against rivals Brisbane.
Home underdogs of 12 or more points cover at 71% the last four years – and we saw the Cowboys cover against the Storm in this exact spot last week.
Home underdogs of at least eight cover at 63% in Rounds 5-8 since 2008.
The Titans are 7-3 ATS getting 12 points and 8-4 ATS at home getting at least eight points.
The Broncos cover at just 42% when favoured by four points.
The Titans are an utterly tremendous play this week.
Same Game Multi
Reece Walsh is an elite tryscorer with 31 tries in 39 games across the last three seasons.
Phillip Sami has six tries in 12 games against the Broncos.
AJ Brimson has 54 tries in 141 games starting in the backline not at halfback.
Value Bet
Arama Hau comes off a truly career breakout performance last week when his double helped the Titans come from behind to roll the Dragons and give Josh Hannay his first win of the season. Hau scored a double and was compared to a young David Fifita with his devastating running. He has many more tries coming his way with the aggressiveness of his game. He has scored three in 12 games already and that tally will soon be added to.
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