Melbourne have been exposed defensively in their last two so it stands to reason the best defensive team of a the last two decades will batten down the hatches.
Best Bet
The Storm are playing decidely un-Storm football. They have won just three of their last seven. They have conceded 18-plus in six of those and 28-plus in four. With Origin now in the books, the Storm are likely to really batten down the hatches and focus on getting their defence right with many of their stars back in action.
They get a good opportunity against a Raiders team that has won just two of their last five and lost five straight to the Storm.
While the line of 10.5 is big enough to cause pause, this game does look to be an under one with the mentality the Storm likely take in. The under has hit in 14 of the last 16 Storm-Raiders games to boot. The under is 29-12 when the Raiders are off a loss and 6-2 when the Storm play at AAMI off a loss.
Points should be at a premium in this one.
Same Game Multi
Ryan Papenhuyzen has 47 tries in 52 starts and has scored doubles in three of his last five games.
Nick Meaney has scored a try in five straight games when starting on the wing for the Storm.
Value Bet
Jahrome Hughes is a quality tryscorer with nine tries in 14 games this year and 18 tries in 38 games across the last two seasons. He has failed to score in three straight games just once this year.
Betseeker Bingo
Play Betseeker Bingo for NRL Tryscorers at TopSport! Here’s this week’s picks:
Best Bets
At least six of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 16.
Value Bets
At least four of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 16.