The Tigers have historically played the Panthers well and with a host of former Penrith players now in the lineup, they will be confident they can keep this one close again.
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Despite Penrith winning four straight premierships and the Tigers claiming the last three wooden spoons, Benji Marshall’s team have tended to be good bets when the teams meet.
The Panthers have won 10 of the last 13 but games have tended to be close, primarily because games have been low-scoring with the under hitting in the last 12. The Tigers have covered four of the last five while the two games at CommBank have been decided by seven or fewer.
This is a handy spot for the Tigers, who have covered eight of 11 at CommBank. They have also covered six of nine off conceding 30 or more when interstate.
This is more about being against Penrith though. The Panthers are wholly unreliable propositions when favoured. They have covered six of 19 when a favourite while they are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 when favoured by six or more. The plus is the play.
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Sunia Turuva is an out-and-out finisher with 26 tries in his last 35 games including nine in 12 games since joining the Tigers.
Starford To’a is having a super season with seven four-pointers in nine matches.
Value Bet
Jahream Bula has emerged as one of the Tigers’ biggest threats. He has 14 tries in the last 35 games across the last two seasons. The Panthers are vulnerable to lanky tackle breaking types who operate wide so suspect Bula has a monster this week.
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