The Wests Tigers are fielding a ramshackle team and come off conceding 72 against the Sydney Roosters but are absolutely a bet against St George Illawarra getting a big start.
Betting against home teams who were embarrassed last start has been a licence to print money and even though this one has a definite stink on it the Tigers shape as a clear play.
Home teams off conceding 48 or more are 14-4 against the spread the last four years while those teams off conceding 60-plus playing at home have covered seven of eight.
There is no doubt the Tigers were utterly humiliated last week and they surely make a stand this week. St George Illawarra are hardly a premiership big dog either.
This is not a bad spot for the Tigers either. They have covered 14 of 20 off scoring 10 or fewer and seven of nine off a loss of 30-plus.
The Dragons have covered just seven of 20 away from their suburban home grounds.
The Tigers are a good play getting 8.5 points against the Saints.
Same Game Multi
Brent Naden has scored four tries in seven games since joining the Tigers.
Talatau Amone has crossed for five tries the last two weeks and his deft footwork has proven exceptionally dangerous.
Adam Doueihi has 17 tries in 48 games since joining the Tigers and has taken a much more hands-on role the last month, running the ball a lot more. He will look to atone for his shocker last week and the Dragons is a good matchup for him.
Play Betseeker Bingo for NRL Tryscorers at TopSport! Here are this week’s selections.
At least six of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 24.
At least four of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 24.