The Cowboys were terribly disappointing when beaten as a favourite in Las Vegas but look primed to bounce back against a Tigers team having their first hitout in 2026.
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Best Bet
There is just a little too much respect being afforded the Wests Tigers in this one as they open the season at home in what is sure to be a packed Leichhardt.
The Tigers made a leap to midtable last season after three straight wooden spoons and many expect that improvement to continue but the loss of Shane Richardson is an awful sign and a return to the doldrums could be on the cards.
At any rate, there is little confidence the Tigers can perform when favoured. They have covered just three of their last 13 when the elect including a 1-3 cover record as a favourite at Leichhardt.
The Cowboys are a team that should strike fear into the Tigers too. Ever since the Tigers put 66 on them, the Cowboys have won the last five, scoring 32-plus in each. North Queensland have won three of the last four at Leichhardt.
North Queensland have been a good bounceback team under Todd Payten, covering at 65% off a double digit loss.
Confidence is high that the Cowboys can get the job done.
Same Game Multi
Murray Taulagi scored a double in Las Vegas while he has absolutely filled up against the Tigers with 10 tries in eight meetings.
Jaxon Purdue has 14 tries in 19 games when starting in the centres.
Tom Dearden has six tries in nine games against the Tigers, crossing in the last three clashes.
Value Bet
Heilum Luki made a tremendous return from an ACL injury that cost him the entirety of the 2025 season, scoring a try in his official return after a strong preseason. He runs incredibly good lines and has 11 tries in 34 games when starting in the NRL. He is big and strong and a great weapon for the Cowboys halves.
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