NRL Tips - Storm v Warriors

Melbourne have been handed a hiding they have not endured in nearly a quarter-century and look set to bounce back big time against a team they have owned for a decade.

Best Bet

Melbourne -9.5

Line

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$1.90

The 2026 version of the Storm may lack the class and grandeur of prior Melbourne outfits but Craig Bellamy remains at the helm, they have the best spine in the competition and they will be shocked into form after last week’s humiliation.

This bodes poorly for the Warriors, who are riding a 17-game losing streak against Melbourne.

The Storm have covered 12 of those games. They have won 10 straight at AAMI. Eight of the last 10 clashes have seen the Storm win by at least 12 points.

Teams off conceding at least 50 points cover at 64% while those that do so in the opening eight rounds cover at 72%.

The Storm have covered 13 of 20 off conceding at least 20 points while they are 11-6 ATS off conceding at least 28.

The Warriors really face a mountain that will be too steep on Saturday night.

Same Game Multi

Sua Fa'alogo Try/Will Warbrick Try/Jahrome Hughes Try

Same Game Multi

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$7.50

Sua Fa’alogo has been airborne since taking over from Ryan Papenhuyzen at fullback with eight tries in five games.

Will Warbrick is a high-class finisher with 43 tries in 61 games.

Value Bet

Melbourne 30+

Exact Winning Margin

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$6.00

Very keen on the Storm to win this and win big. They will be keyed in after last week’s smash-job at the hands of Penrith and they have run in at least 30 points in nine of their last 10 against New Zealand. Six of the last nine head-to-head meetings have seen the Storm win by at least 22 points.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.