NRL Tips – Storm v Warriors – Round 6 2025

Melbourne Storm & New Zealand Warriors - NRL Betting Tips

The Storm wasted no time putting the loss to the Dragons behind them and were back to their best in a 24-point win over the Sea Eagles. The Warriors collected two points courtesy of the bye but will need to be at the top of their game if they are to get anything out of their trip to Melbourne.

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Best Bet

Storm -14.5
Line

Storm, Storm, Storm! The Storm have completely owned this matchup with wins in each of the last 16 meetings. They have won the last 9 battles at AAMI Park with an average winning margin of 22.1 points across those games.

The Storm have won 9 of their last 11 games as a home favourite while the Warriors have won a less than inspiring 25% of away games in the last year.

The Over has hit in 9 of the last 12 meetings hosted by the Storm including each of the last five. A high scoring contest will make it easier for them to cover the big start.


Same Game Multi

Anderson Try/Hughes Try/Katoa Try
Same Game Multi

One thing we have come to learn about the Storm is that they are excellent at exposing opponent weaknesses multiple times in the same game. Last week Anderson scored a hat-trick and the numbers suggest he will have another big game.

The Storm have scored 52% of their tries down the right third of the field and that isn’t a total surprise as it is the side that Hughes and Katoa operate down. It is also the opposite side to Shawn Blore who does everything he can not to pass to his outside.

We get an additional tick in this matchup as the Warriors leak tries down their left third of defence – 54% this season to be exact. The multi includes the trio of Anderson, Katoa (against his former club) and Hughes.


Value Bet

Storm-Storm-Storm
First three Tries Correct Order

Fast starts and momentum are two features of the current Storm side. They have scored the opening try in 8 of their last 10 games and last week was another example of how quickly they can pile on the points.

They have scored the opening three tries in 2 of their 4 games played this season including the win over the Sea Eagles last week. In total, they have scored three or more unanswered tries four times in as many games in 2025.

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Nick has spent more than 15 years working in wagering around the world and is a regular NRL columnist for The Guardian.