Melbourne are starting to sizzle and should be at their best against some Storm defectors this week.
Best Bet
Melbourne -7.5 ($1.90)
Cronulla have been the big improver this year., They sit second on the ladder with a 4-1 record, ranking fourth in scoring and first in defence. They face their first major test though against the Storm and the sharp money will likely come for Melbourne.
Melbourne have dominated Cronulla in recent years. The Storm have won the last four with three of those by 12 or more. They have won the last three at AAMI Park by 18 or more.
Once the Storm start firing they become hard to shut down. Melbourne are 23-11 against the spread off scoring more than 30.
With seven covers in their last nine at AAMI, the Storm are the play.
Same Game Multi
Over 38.5/Ryan Papenhuyzen Try/Xavier Coates Try ($3.50)
The over is 25-7 when an underdog of more than 6.5 comes off a win of 20 or more while the over hits at 62% when Cronulla are off a win.
Ryan Papenhuyzen has seven tries in five games this year and scored a hat-trick the last time the Storm played the Sharks.
Xavier Coates has scored in two of three against the Sharks and has three tries in four games this year.
Value Bet
Brandon Smith Try ($3.20)
Brandon Smith has scored 12 tries in 28 games and has dominated Cronulla in recent outings with four tries in his last three against the Sharks. Smith always has a shot or two when he gets into hooker.
