Melbourne are different gravy at home during the afternoon and that spells trouble for a struggling Sharks outfit.
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Best Bet
Typically interstate underdogs are a bet during the Origin period but not in this case with the timing of the match key.
While the Sharks have shown up against the Storm lately with three wins in the last five, it has typically been at night and more often than not in Sydney. An afternoon match at AAMI Park though sets this up for a big Melbourne win.
The Storm are different gravy when they play in daytime conditions and their attack is irrepressible. The Storm are 13-6 ATS in day matches over the last four years with a 9-2 cover record playing day games at AAMI, averaging a win of 26 points.
With the Storm winning six of their last seven against the Sharks at AAMI by 16-plus and Cronulla’s defence going south quickly, this sets up for a big Melbourne win.
The other key factor here is how bad the Sharks are against quality opposition. They are 8-17 ATS against Top 4 opposition.
The Storm win this and win it big.
Same Game Multi
Grant Anderson is a highly underrated tryscorer who has 10 four-pointers in 12 appearances this year.
Eliesa Katoa runs the edge superbly for the Storm and he has 23 tries in 59 games for Melbourne.
Value Bet
Tyran Wishart is a sneaky-good tyscorer and when he crosses he does so from the bench. Wishart has five tries this year and has crossed in the last three. He is excellent value to cross again.
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