While some key outs have taken the shine off this clash, the importance of this match remains with the Roosters looking to lock down eighth spot.
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Best Bet
The weather forecast at face value does not bode well for the over in this clash on Friday night but delving deeper the rain does appear to only be light and on a low total the over can be bet.
Every angle in this game outside of the weather suggests points.
The over is 15-10 in Melbourne’s last 25 while it is 26-20 when the Storm play at AAMI. It is 24-16 when Melbourne are off conceding 14 or fewer.
The Roosters have scored 28-plus in six of their last nine. The over is 8-3 when the Chooks play interstate. It is 14-6 when the Roosters are off conceding 30-plus and 14-8 when they are off a double digit loss.
Keep a watch on the weather but the over looks a strong play.
Same Game Multi
Ryan Papenhuyzen scored a double the last time he played the Roosters while he has 14 tries in 17 matches this season.
James Tedesco is in sensational form with 10 tries in his last 15 games.
Value Bet
Billy Smith is an exceptionally talented centre and I has resulted in a good tryscoring seasons for the oft-injured midfielder with eight tries in 15 matches this year. Five of those tries have come in his last seven appearances. He is a big price to score this week against a makeshift Storm centre-pairing.
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