Melbourne are heavily favoured to roll the Roosters when the teams meet in the first preliminary final as the Storm look to get into their first decider since 2020.
Best Bet
The Storm should win this and win it well with all signs pointing to a comfortable Melbourne win.
Melbourne have dominated the Roosters recently with 10 wins in the last 11 clashes including nine covers. In that run, the Roosters have not scored more than 18 while the Storm have failed to hit that number just once.
Road teams in preliminary finals struggle to score with 10 of the last 14 failing to get past 12 points. The Roosters look set to be well contained.
The Storm are 14-7 ATS as a double digit favourite at AAMI while they are 23-12 ATS off a win of 13-plus.
The Roosters are 7-18 ATS against Top 4 teams while they are 3-14 ATS against the Panthers and Storm. The Chooks are 6-14 ATS off scoring 36-plus.
Chips in Melbourne.
Insights
📈 Melbourne Off Big Win: The Storm have covered 23 of 35 off a win of 13 or more. 💪
🏟️ Melbourne As Big Favouites: Melbourne are 27-17 against the spread when favoured by at least 10 points. 🔥
🔑 Roosters v Top 4 Teams: The Roosters have covered just seven of their last 25 against Top 4 opposition. 🏅
Same Game Multi
Eliesa Katoa is having his best tryscoring season with 12 tries in his 23 matches this year including four in his last four.
Jahrome Hughes has a great tryscoring record against the Roosters with seven in his last 10 matches.
Value Bet
Mercurial Storm rake Harry Grant comes off a hat-trick against the Sharks and looks a good chance to score again this week. Grant now has eight tries in his last seven games so confidence is sky high when it comes to scoring.
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