We break down all the best tryscorer bets for the 2024 decider between the Melbourne Storm and the Penrith Panthers.
| Market | Preview |
|---|---|
| Best Bets | Match Preview & Best Bets |
| Clive Churchill Medal | Clive Churchill Medal Tips |
| NRLW Grand Final | Norm Smith Medal Tips |
| State Championship | State Championship Tips |
Best Bet
Over the last decade, 56 tries have been scored in Grand Finals. A total of 42 (75%) have been scored by backs with forwards managing 12 (21.4%) and bench players 2 (3.6%).
Breaking down the backs, centres have scored 14, wingers 13, fullbacks six, five-eighths six and halfbacks three.
Centres are unquestionably the best value with their prices typically much higher than that of wingers.
Paul Alamoti is a great bet to score on Sunday night. The left Penrith centre has a great record in the decider and the Storm concede down their right edge.
Alamoti has seven tries in 15 games and comes off a double. He is an excellent bet to get across in the decider.
Insights
📈 Grand Final Dogs: Favourites have covered just three of the last nine Grand Finals. 💪
🏟️ Penrith Big-Time Performers: Penrith have covered seven of their last eight finals matches. 🔥
🔑 Penrith at a Price: The Panthers have covered nine of the last 12 when starting at $1.80 or longer. 🏅
Same Game Multi
Wingers have scored 13 tries over the last decade, crossing in seven of the 10 deciders. Turuva has 16 tries this season and matches up on the defensively poor Will Warbrick.
Dylan Edwards has double digit tries this year for just the second time in his career and crossed last time he played the Storm.
Value Bet
Halfbacks have a very poor tryscoring record in Grand Finals over the last decade with just three scored. Nathan Cleary, however, has two of those and both have been last tries including last year’s epic winner. He loves running in the second half. Excellent last try bet.
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