A Friday night for the ages is capped off with an all-Top 4 clash between Melbourne and Canterbury in a potential preview of a finals matchup a month down the line.
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Best Bet
There is no doubt that Canterbury’s form of late has been mixed at best and poor at worst. They have dropped two of their last three and from a betting perspective have covered just two of their last nine. The market has tended to overrate the Bulldogs. Not this week though.
Getting 6.5 points against the Storm missing Jahrome Hughes and potentially Ryan Papenhuyzen is incredibly disrespectful.
On paper, the Bulldogs matchup well with the Storm. Canterbury have been getting bullied through the middle but the Storm don’t have a pack that is high on aggression and physicality through the middle.
The Storm are a poor night team, covering just 42% in evening games. They are also 5-11 AS off a win while they have covered just one of five against Top 4 opposition.
The Bulldogs have covered six of eight against Top 4 teams while they are 9-3 ATS off a loss. Getting a start of more than a converted try, the Bulldogs have covered six of seven.
Very keen on Canterbury here.
Same Game Multi
Xavier Coates is benefiting from changes to the interpretation of the tackled in the air rule an he has been in elite form with 18 tries this season.
Enari Tuala is in good form with four tries in his last four appearances.
Value Bet
Matt Burton has been playing some very good football of late and part of that he has been running the ball a lot more. He has scored four tries in his last 11 games including a runaway intercept last week against the Roosters. Looks a nice bet this week.
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