One of the great derbies in Rugby League, Cronulla and St George Illawarra play out the latest chapter of their rivalry on Thursday night in a game that should be closer than it appears.
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Best Bet
St George Illawarra were downright embarrassing last week. The Dragons went down 56-6 to the Dolphins in a score that arguably flattered the Dragons with the Phins putting the cue in the rack in the last 20 minutes.
Those kind of humiliating defeats though usually inspire a much-greater effort the following week. Teams off a loss of 50 or more cove at 69% since 2008. Teams off conceding at least 56 cover at 70%. Humiliation is a strong motivator.
Shane Flanagan is also known as a harsh taskmaster and won’t cop a loss like this well. The Dragons are known as a strong rebound team so they should be up for this.
This is a nice spot for the Dragons too. They are 13-8 ATS as a double digit underdogs and 5-1 ATS at Shark Park.
Happy to take on the Sharks in this spot too. The double digit favourites whole come off a double digit loss cove at just 37%. Cronulla have also failed to cover their last four off conceding 36-plus.
The Dragons plus is an outstanding bet.
Same Game Multi
Mawene Hiroti will benefit from a shift to left centre with that position scoring in all bar one match this year.
Tyrell Sloan has nine tries in 10 games this year.
Value Bet
Jacob Liddle is a highly underrated tryscorer who has six in 12 games this year. Flanagan is slowly figuring out how to play both Liddle and Damien Cook so the increase in minutes will only help his chaces.
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