Anthony Seibold’s Manly career is hanging by a thread and any blip against the Knights will be a nail in his coffin.
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Anthony Seibold’s time at Manly looks like it could be coming to an end with a win over Newcastle critical in staving off the executioner.
Manly jumped to a 14-0 lead against Canberra but were comprehensively outplayed for much of the game before forcing their opener to golden point. Their lack of depth will be a concern.
The Knights have certainly benefited from a change at the coaching position with Newcastle looking superb in Las Vegas when winning 28-18. Newcastle reached 28 just once last year and did so without star Fletcher Sharpe for three-quarters of the game.
While the Knights found some run in attack in Vegas, Justin Holbrook is a defence-first coach who will be looking to tighten that area up and he should find success against Manly. This makes the under the top bet in the match.
The under hits at 69% in Round 2 when a team is off a win while it hits at 65% in Round 2 since 2021 overall.
This is a big under spot for the Knights too. The under hits at 61% when Newcastle are on the road, 59% when they are off a win and is 25-17 when they are an underdog of at least a try.
Very keen on the under in this one.
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Tolutau Koula comes off a remarkable tryscoring season where he crossed 17 times in 22 games despite getting so little of the ball due to the ineptitude of the half inside him and opened this year with a double.
Dom Young has eight tries in seven games against Manly and his record of 74 tries in 93 games in the NRL matches up with anyone.
Tom Trbojevic has 112 tries in 171 games and finally healthy should return to his tryscoring best.
Value Bet
Dylan Lucas is an absolute favourite of this author as he is perennially underrated as both a player and a tryscorer. He gets through a mountain of work and runs the inside courage line as well as any edge in the NRL. As a starting edge or centre he has 14 tries in 38 games, a very nice return. He is excellent odds once again.
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