NRL Tips – Sea Eagles v Dragons – Round 7 2025

Sea Eagles vs Dragons - NRL Tips

The Dragons were big winners against the titans in Round 6 but head to 4 Pines Park where they have had very limited success in recent years. the Sea Eagles attack was non-existent in a loss to the Sharks last week but history suggests that a return to the northern beaches will bring about instant success.

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Best Bet

Sea Eagles -2.5
Line

Beware the wounded Eagles! there is no better time to back the Sea Eagles than this as they have won 8 of their last 11 following a loss with an 82% strike rate at the line in those games.

They have won 6 of their last 7 against the Dragons a 4 Pines Park and have successfully covered the start in 4 of the last 5 as a home favourite when hosting the Red V. The Sea Eagles have averaged 31.6ppg in their last 5 following a loss and have tallied 30+ points in 3 of their last 4 against the Dragons at this ground.

The Dragons may be coming off their best performance of the season but are a trap this week. They have a 20% win rate both straight up and at the line in their last 10 games after a win which includes losing to the Eels following their only prior victory this season.


Same Game Multi

Sea Eagles WIN/Saab Try/Faulalo Try
Same Game Multi

With an excellent record against the dragons and following a loss, a Sea Eagles win is being slotted into the SGM.

Faulalo has slotted in nicely on the wing with a try in each of his last two. The most impressive par about that is that the tries came against the Storm and Sharks – two of the premier teams in the competition.

Let’s not forget about Jason Saab who is prolific – especially at 4 Pines Park. He has scored a try in 7 of his last 8 games and 2 in his last two against the Dragons.


Value Bet

Over 59.5 points
Total Points

The alternate total of Over 59.5 looks very appealing. The Sea Eagles have scored 30+ points in 7 of their last 13 games at 4 Pines Park and there has been an average of 54.0 total match points in games played at this ground in 2025. Both teams have scored 20+ point in 5 of the Dragons las 7 games leading into this one so the visiting team will certainly do their bit and contribute to the total.

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Nick has spent more than 15 years working in wagering around the world and is a regular NRL columnist for The Guardian.