Round 1 and the Sydney weather lead to an outstanding bet when Manly host North Queensland at Brookvale on Saturday evening.
Best Bet
Hopes are high for Manly heading into 2025 and they will be very keen to get their season off on a winning note against a North Queensland team facing a difficult year.
Manly have a great recent record against North Queensland with five wins in the last seven and 16 covers in the 24 meetings since 2008.
The Sea Eagles are 19-12 ATS at Brookvale and have covered 11 of 16 at the venue at night. They have covered five of seven at Brookvale laying at least a try.
The better play though with wet conditions forecast is hitting the under.
Readers will be sick of reading the numbers around Round 1 unders but they absolutely drive the bet home. The under hits at just under 80% in Round 1 games the last three years and just under 63% the last decade. Night Round 1 games go under at 63%.
When an interstate team plays in the opening four rounds of the year, the under hits at nearly 71%.
The under is 8-3 when the Cowboys are an interstate underdog of four or more points.
With rains expected to hit, the under is a highly confident play.
Same Game Multi
Tom Trbojevic is arguably the most effective tryscorer in the NRL with 61 tries in 63 games across the last five seasons.
Haumole Olakau’atu is the best edge tryscorer in the premiership with 36 tries in 94 games.
Value Bet
Tom Trbojevic tends to score in bunches and is a super bet to score two-plus in this one. He has scored two or more in six of his last 22 games. The last time he played fullback against the Cowboys he scored a hat-trick.
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