The Panthers were stunned by the Dolphins and have now lost their last five games. The news doesn’t get any better as the take on the Roosters – the team that handed them their first defeat this season and a side that just beat the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium.
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At some point we must start losing faith in the four-time defending premiers. Outside of the fact that they have lost their last 5 games, they have allowed 28.3ppg this season and are no longer the defensive force that made them perennial winners.
Ironically, their downfall began in Round 2 in a 38-32 loss against a short-handed Roosters side. The tricolours now have Radley and Leniu back on deck who were unavailable for that clash while the Panthers are attempting to stem the flow of tries by playing Garner at centre – a play that has not worked for teams.
Des Hasler played bacl-rower Beau Fermor in the centres last week which was a catastrophe so look for the Roosters to push the majority of the traffic down their left edge where he will be defending.
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The Panthers defence out wide has been dreadful with opposing teams racking up linebreaks and tries against them. Only 3 of the 30 tries they have conceded this season have been through the middle third.
Daniel Tupou has 3 tries in his last 3 against the Panthers and has score one or more tries in 7 of his last 8 when facing teams sitting below the Roosters on the ladder.
Sticking with he theme of wide players, Dominic young scored a 4-pointer last time these two sides met and has scored a whopping 16 tries in his last 12 regular season games for the Roosters at Allianz Stadium.
The Panthers have been forced to chase games this season and one player that has benefited from this is Casey McLean. He has scored a try in each of his last 4 games for the Panthers which includes the Panhers first try in each of their last two games.
Value Bet
In 6 games played this season the Panthers have scored the opening try only once. Being forced to play from behind has taken them out of their comfort zone and means that we will be backing a Roosters player in the first tryscorer market. Dom Young is the top pick on the back of a phenomenal record of 1+ tries in 10 of his last 11 home games for the Roosters and 16 in his last 12 at this ground.
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