The Melbourne Storm have dropped four straight and look to be in genuine trouble when they travel to Canberra to meet the rejuvenated Raiders.
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Best Bet
It is hard to see how Canberra don’t start favourites in this one.
The problems with the Storm are not about to be alleviated anytime soon. Their depth has just been stretched too far with the retirement of Ryan Papenhuyzen and the unexpected season-enders of Eli Katoa and Tui Kamikamica. The stars may improve but there is just no upside in the pack.
Canberra ended a long-losing streak with a win over the Bunnies in Perth in what was a real confidence builder.
Canberra have won three of the last five against Melbourne with four covers in the last five games.
Home underdogs cover at 62% in Rounds 1-8 dating back to 2008 while the Raiders are 25-16 ATS as an outsider. Canberra have also covered 16 of 24 off conceding 30-plus.
The Storm are a poor night team covering at just 45% under lights. They are 4-11 ATS interstate while they are 6-9 ATS off scoring 14 or fewer.
Confidence is very high on the Raiders here.
Same Game Multi
Hudson Young has three tries in his last three games.
Kaeo Weekes comes off scoring the try of the year and now has four tries in his last five games.
Will Warbrick has six tries in six games this year.
Value Bet
Melbourne have been completely dominated through the middle with their pack completely pushed over in recent weeks. That bodes poorly against a Raiders team whose strength is through the middle. Joseph Tapine has not scored this year and has just one try against the Storm but looks a good value bet to cross this week.
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