The Raiders will be confident of bouncing back from their harrowing loss to the Broncos given how poorly the Sharks traditionally play elite teams.
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Best Bet
Canberra looked to have a preliminary final spot booked last week when leading Brisbane by 16 with just 25 minutes to play before a combination of pressure, poor officiating and a lack of leadership conspired to get the Broncos home.
Ricky Stuart is far from the best coach in the game but his strength is getting his team mentally prepared so the Raiders should be primed to bounce back this week and this is a great spot for them to do so.
Top 4 teams who lost in week one of the finals are wildly underrated, winning 16 of 20 over the last decade with 11 of those wins coming by more than seven points.
The Raiders have a sensational record against the Sharks with 10 wins in the last 13 meetings and five wins in the last six at Canberra Stadium.
Canberra have covered 10 of 13 at home and four of five night home games. They are 9-4 ATS when favoured by at least a try.
The Sharks cover at just 33% when playing a Top 4 team.
The Raiders are a chips in job.
Same Game Multi
Kaeo Weekes is flying with eight tries in his last nine games including a double against the Broncos.
Sebastian Kris has three tries in eight games against Cronulla and has finished 2025 with two tries in his last four games.
Ethan Strange has had a super season with 14 tries including six in his last four matches.
Value Bet
Simi Sasagi is in the throes of his best season in the top grade and he has made a habit of scoring at big odds. He has scored seven tries in 21 games with four of those coming from the bench. Those seven tries have come in the last 12 games so he is flying. The price on offer is utterly obscene.
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