Newcastle have an unnaturally strong record against Canberra and can cause another shock on Sunday afternoon.
Newcastle have been nothing short of dreadful this season but this is a good matchup against a team they overperform against.
The Knights have covered seven of nine against the Raiders. Newcastle have scored 20-plus in 12 of the last 13 against Canberra and 30-plus in three of the last five clashes.
Canberra are always a risk at home. They have covered just 13 of 34 at home and have covered just 3 of 9 as a home favourite of more than eight points.
The number in this one is just too big.
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Sebastian Kris is an underrated try scorer with 17 tries in 29 starts.
Edrick Lee has scored in three of his last four appearances.
Newcastle have won the last three against Canberra and done so all at odds-against winning at prices of $2.10, $2.50 and $3.60. They also have wins at $2.35 and $5.00 since 2017. The Knights have it over the Raiders and bounce back well off a humiliating defensive display.
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