South Sydney do not have a great record against Melbourne but getting a big start at home they look a bet – particularly with some big names looming on the extended bench.
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Best Bet
The starting point for this game is not the ladder but the record of home underdogs getting at least 10 points. Home double digit underdogs are a 66% proposition over the last four seasons.
That brings Souths right back into a matchup they looked outclassed on paper in. There is no doubt the Storm have more talent than the injury-ravaged Rabbitohs but it may not be as much as it appears with Keaon Koloamatangi, Cody Walker and Campbell Graham all on an extended bench.
We typically see the best of Souths at Accor too with nine covers in their last 12 at the venue.
This is not a super spot for the Storm either.
Night games have been a problem for them for a long time, covering at just 43% the last four years.
They are also 4-7 ATS as an interstate double digit favourites.
Bet the Bunnies in this one.
Same Game Multi
Alex Johnston recently became just the second player in premiership history to top 200 career tries. He has scored in five of his six games this year.
Tyrone Munro is an emerging tryscoring star. He has nine tries in just 10 games.
Value Bet
Euan Aitken knows his way across the tryline with 57 four-pointers in his 201-game career. He has scored twice a this year in nine games. He has enjoyed playing the Storm too with four tries in his last 10 games against Melbourne.
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