Off a complete humiliation last week, North Queensland look a sensational bet to cover the big start as a sizable home underdog against the Panthers on Saturday night.
Best Bet
North Queensland getting the huge start are the best bet of the week when they host Penrith.
The Cowboys are getting a ridiculously large start with the game being played in Townsville.
Home underdogs of at least a try in the opening eight rounds cover at 66%. And teams off conceding 42 or more points in the opening eight rounds cover at 61%.
The Cowboys are bound to be up for this and with a 4-2 cover record off conceding 36-plus, they do tend to respond.
Everyone knows what a tremendous team Penrith are but this is not a great spot for them.
Interstate teams off a win in the opening eight rounds of the season have covered at just 37% the last four seasons. Penrith are also 6-8 against the spread when an interstate favourite of more than eight points and 5-8 ATS interstate off a win of 13-plus.
Expect a big Cowboys showing.
Same Game Multi
Kyle Feldt has nine tries in 13 games against the Panthers.
Scott Drinkwater has five tries in his last five games.
Value Bet
It has been a big week for the Cowboys backrower with it announced that he has signed a long-term deal with the Dolphins. He has just three tries in 20 games and the Panthers are disciplined but he is a huge price this week.
Follow Betseeker for weekly expert NRL tips and predictions for the 2023 NRL season.
