Round 15 finishes off with a compelling affair between the Knights and the Panthers and there is a strong case to be made for the Knights keeping this one close.
Best Bet
Penrith are clearly a better team than Newcastle but fancy the line in this one is far too big.
The Panthers get Dylan Edwards back but are still without Nathan Cleary.
While they are an elite team, there is plenty of focus on Origin and they are just 15-14 ATS when favoured on the road by double digits.
The Knights are in a surprisingly good spot here.
They are 11-2 ATS in day games and they have covered six straight as a home underdog.
This number just looks a little large.
Insights
🏠 Newcastle at Home: In the last 9 home games, Newcastle has seen the total points go under 7 times, indicating a trend towards lower-scoring matches at home.
🔥 Newcastle Against Top 4 Teams: When playing against top 4 teams, Newcastle’s games have typically been high-scoring, with 7 out of the last 8 games going over the total points line.
⚡ Penrith at Newcastle: Penrith has dominated their matches at Newcastle, winning 7 out of the last 9 games played at this venue.
Same Game Multi
Greg Marzhew benefits from matching up on Penrith’s weak defensive side and he has 24 tries in 32 games since joining the Knights.
Sunia Turuva is having an outstanding year with 11 tries in 12 games.
Value Bet
Penrith don’t concede a lot of tries but when they do concede it is down their right edge. That is good news for Bradman Best. Best is pushing for an Origin spot so will be keen to score and he does have three tries in six games against Penrith.
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