The Warriors were completely humiliated by the Titans last week and that makes them good things when they return home to meet the Broncos in Round 17.
Best Bet
There won’t be too many better bets you will find this year than the New Zealand Warriors.
Teams off conceding 66 the week prior are a perfect 9-0 ATS since 2008.
Teams off conceding 60 are 18-3 against the number.
Home underdogs off conceding 50 or more cover at 77%.
The Warriors have covered eight of 10 off conceding 50 while they have covered four of six as an underdog at Mt Smart.
The outsider has covered eight of the last night when these two teams have met.
Brisbane have covered just four of 13 interstate off a loss and they are likely to rest their entire Origin contingent given the workloads of the forwards and the knock Reece Walsh took late.
Chips in the Warriors plus.
Insights
🏟️ Brisbane on the Road: In the last 4 games away from home, Brisbane Broncos have shown a strong defensive focus, with all 4 games going under the total points line.
🔝 NZ Warriors Conceded 50+ Points: Conceding over 50 points has spurred the Warriors to perform well in subsequent games. They’ve won all of their last 4 games following such a heavy defeat. Additionally, they’ve covered the line in these instances.
🔥 NZ Warriors’ Recent Form: The Warriors have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with all of their last 4 matches going over the total points line.
Same Game Multi
Dallin Watene-Zelezniak has six tries in his last four games against Brisbane and the Broncos are very poor defensively down their left.
Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad has four tries in his last six games at fullback.
Value Bet
Jackson Ford has three tries this season and has been very close the last two weeks. The move to the middle suits him and the Broncos have conceded through the middle at an above average rate. He looks massive odds to crash over.
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