One of the best matches of Round 2, Las Vegas winners Manly and the Sydney Roosters square off at Brookvale with both teams starting the season in red-hot form.
Best Bet
Both Manly and the Roosters suffer key outs this week. The Sea Eagles have lost Jason Saab while the Roosters have lost Spencer Leniu to suspension. The Roosters get Dom Young back to make his club debut.
There is no push either side here. The Roosters have won seven of the last 10 meetings and have been well supported in betting. They have covered just 12 of 29 off a double digit win though and Manly cover at 60% when Tom Trbojevic is playing.
There is a confident bet on the under here though.
The last four between these teams have gone under the total.
The under hits at 57% in Round 2 games.
The under lands at 67.5% in the opening four rounds when an underdog is off a win while it lobs 65.8% of the team in the opening four rounds when a team is off scoring 36-plus.
Same Game Multi
Tom Trbojevic is averaging over a try a game the last three seasons and has scored six tries in his last six games against the Roosters.
Dom Young matches up with the completely incompetent Jaxson Paulo, a wild mismatch considering Young scored 25 tries in 25 games last year and Paulo can’t (and won’t) tackle.
Value Bet
The mismatch between Young and Paulo cannot be overstated. Young looks a moral to score a try and the odds to score a hat-trick are insanely high. Young had eight multi-try games last year and he scored four once – against Manly.
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