Round 19 wraps up with Manly hosting Newcastle and the Sea Eagles seem very short for a team missing star Daly Cherry-Evans against a Knights team playing well.
Best Bet
Manly are huge unders this week with the Knights close to the best of the week getting an obscene 8.5-point start.
It is tough to forget just how bad Manly were prepared by Anthony Seibold the last time they played without Daly Cherry-Evans and their Origin contingent. They were a complete shambles. Playing Jamie Humphreys is smart and Tom Trbojevic is back at fullback but the Sea Eagles are lost without DCE.
Newcastle have also lost three to Origin but Fletcher Sharpe is an excellent replacement for Kalyn Ponga at fullback while there is adequate replacements in the three-quarter line.
Newcastle have covered 13 of 15 day games and 10 of 13 on the road. They are a super bet getting a huge start.
Insights
🏠 Manly Home Dominance: Manly has covered the spread in 8 out of their last 9 home games, showcasing their strong performance at home.
🌟 Newcastle Away Success: Newcastle has been impressive on the road, covering the spread in 7 out of their last 8 away games.
⚔️ High Scoring Manly vs Newcastle: The last 4 games between Manly and Newcastle have all gone over the total, suggesting a trend of high-scoring encounters.
Same Game Multi
Tom Trbojevic is an elite tryscorer with 46 tries in 47 games across the last four years and back at fullback looks an outstanding bet to score this week.
Fletcher Sharpe has scored in two of his three NRL starts.
Value Bet
The Knights are going to play this one tight to the chest, looking to grind out a similar win to that of the Raiders last week. Elliott has three tries this year and has taken advantage of flimsy middles, exactly what the Sea Eagles have.
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