NRL Tips - Manly v Melbourne

The Battle of Brookvale returns and while Manly have a very good record at home, Melbourne look very hard to beat with Jahrome Hughes back at No.7 for the Storm.

Best Bet

Melbourne -3.5

Line

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$1.90

Melbourne suffered disastrous news last Sunday when Cameron Munster re-aggravated his groin injury. He will be sidelined by at least two months.

That was partially offset on Tuesday night with the inclusion of Jahrome Hughes. Hughes is critical with Ryan Papenhuyzen also sidelined.

Whatever injuries the Storm have, none are as impactful as the absence of Tom Trbojevic has on Manly. It appears now as if Tolutau Koula could also miss.

This is a great spot for the Storm.

Teams off scoring 48-plus cover at 67% the last four years while those travelling interstate cover at a clip of 73%. The Storm are auto-bets on those numbers.

With the Storm 26-15 ATS against teams outside the Top 8 and 13-8 ATS off scoring 40-plus, they look a very nice bet.

Insights

🔻 Melbourne’s Dominance Over Manly: Melbourne has been robust against Manly, covering the spread in 7 of their last 9 matchups and securing 6 wins with a margin of 13+ points.

📈 Recent High-Scoring Trends for Manly: Manly’s recent games have predominantly gone over the total points line, achieving this in 7 of their last 9 games.

🔄 Manly’s Recovery Post-Loss: Following a loss, Manly has demonstrated resilience by covering the spread in 6 out of their last 7 games.

Same Game Multi

Xavier Coates Try/Eliesa Katoa Try

Same Game Multi

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$6.00

Xavier Coates has seven tries in his last seven games and he has four tries in five matches against the Sea Eagles.

Eliesa Katoa has five tries in his last seven matches and is in great tryscoring nick.

Value Bet

Reimis Smith

To Score A Try

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$3.35

Reimis Smith has three tries the last two weeks and Manly are weakest defensively on their right edge. Coates should be the major benefactor but Smith will have some opportunities. Smith should thrive against poor defender Reuben Garrick.

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Editor in Chief

Frankie McDonald

Frankie has spent more than two decades working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.