NRL Tips – Knights v Raiders – Round 5 2026

Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders | NRL Tips

Newcastle have overachieved all season and look tremendous value once again as a home underdog against last year’s minor premiers.

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Best Bet

Newcastle +4.5
Line
Bet Now
$1.90

Newcastle’s form since sacking Adam O’Brien and replacing him with Justin Holbrook has been nothing short of astonishing, opening the season 3-1. They enter this off a stunning win over Canterbury as a 13.5-point underdog.

It has been a very different start to the season for the Raiders with last year’s minor premiers opening the year 1-3.

The Knights have covered nine of the last 13 against the Raiders and home underdogs Rounds 5-8 cover at 62% since 2008.

Afternoon football suits the Knights with Newcastle 27-13 ATS in day games while they are 21-14 ATS off a win.

Bottom five road teams cover at just 35% Rounds 3-6 while Canberra are 15-24 ATS when favoured.

Newcastle are one of the stronger plays in Round 5.


Same Game Multis

Dominic Young Try/Fletcher Sharpe Try/Xavier Savage Try
Same Game Multi
Bet Now
$12.36

Dominic Young comes off a superb hat-trick against Canterbury and now has 79 tries in 96 games.

Fletcher Sharpe has a wonderful tryscoring record with 23 tries in 28 NRL games.

Xavier Savage has 30 tries in 49 games across the last three seasons.


Value Bet

Dylan Lucas
To Score A Try
Bet Now
$3.20

Dylan Lucas is one of the most underrated second rowers in the NRL and is always a tryscoring threat. He crossed last week off a great play by Fletcher Sharpe. Lucas now has 15 tries in 45 games on the back of hard running and a wonderful ability to run the right angles. He has a lot more tries coming his way.

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Frankie has spent more than a decade working in the Australian wagering industry and is widely regarded for his expertise in AFL, NRL and horse racing tips.