Big home underdogs are typically a very reliable bet and with Penrith missing Isaah Yeo, Newcastle will fancy their chances against the four-time defending premiers.
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Best Bet
Penrith are the hottest team in the NRL with eight straight wins, keeping opponents to 10 or fewer in five of those. Against the lowest scoring team in the NRL, that should prove a great matchup. Not all is as it seems though.
The Panthers were poor in the second half against the Titans, conceding 26 points in a game they should have lost. They were not helped by the absence of Isaah Yeo, who has not been named this week.
Then there is the record of big home underdogs, who have an outstanding record of late. Double digit home underdogs have covered at 71% the last four seasons while those after Round 20 are 15-3 against the spread.
With the Knights 7-3 against the spread as a home underdogs getting at least eight points and Penrith 6-13 against the number laying double digits, Newcastle are a quality bet at home getting the huge start.
Same Game Multi
Tom Jenkins is going as well as anyone when it comes to scoring with 11 tries in 11 games.
Greg Marzhew has scored in his last two and the Knights do like going left.
Dominic Young is an elite tryscorer with 72 tries in 87 games at NRL level.
Value Bet
Fletcher Hunt is emerging as a real talent and absolutely has a sixth-sense for scoring. Despite Newcastle struggling to score, Hunt has scored in four of his last five games. He has speed and throws himself into everything. Lovely bet.
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