Round 10 concludes with an all-Queensland affair when the Titans host the Cowboys in a match Gold Coast seem to be severely underrated by the market.
Best Bet
North Queensland as a road favourite? No thanks. One of the most inconsistent teams in the NRL, the Cowboys can no way be trusted to get the job done even against a team as far down the ladder as the Gold Coast.
And while the Titans are anchored in 16th on the ladder, they have been vastly improved of late.
Gold Coast have covered their last five and it is in no way a coincidence that this has happened with the elite AJ Brimson moving back into a spine role.
Gold Coast have won three of the last four against North Queensland on the Gold Coast and they have covered their last two as a home underdog.
North Queensland have covered just three of 11 as a favourite off a loss.
Gold Coast are just severe overs in this one considering how both teams have been playing.
Insights
✨ Gold Coast’s Recent Cover Success: Gold Coast has been successful in covering the spread in their recent performances, achieving covers in all of the last 5 games.
👎 Gold Coast’s Low Scoring Against Lower Teams: When facing bottom 9 teams, Gold Coast also trends towards low scoring, achieving ‘over’ only once in the last 7 games, with ‘unders’ in the remaining 6.
🏈 Low Scoring Matches Between Gold Coast and North Queensland: The matchups between Gold Coast and North Queensland have predominantly been low scoring, with 7 out of the last 9 games going under the total points line.
Same Game Multi
Phillip Sami has 14 tries in his last 25 games and he has scored in three of his last four against the Cowboys.
AJ Brimson has four tries in his last three games and he now has 28 tries in 64 games wearing the No.1 jersey.
Scott Drinkwater has three tries in his last four against the Titans.
Value Bet
This game shapes as one that is going to be a fairly loose affair so happy to take some big odds on a bustling middle scoring. Jaimin Jolliffe has just five career tries in 78 games but two of those have come this year. He plays big minutes and does make an impact.
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