Both the Titans and Knights have been hit hard by injury to key personnel and that feeds into the best bet in this clash.
Best Bet
Magic Round Super Saturday kicks off with a compelling affair that is hard to line up due to the number of injuries with the Knights and the Titans battling it out.
The Titans have been gutted by injury and did a magnificent job to hold on against the Cowboys with not a single healthy player left on their bench by fulltime.
AJ Brimson and Harley Smith-Shields are both out long-term, Phillip Sami will miss a month and Kieran Foran is out for at least a week. They join a long list of outs including skipper Tino Fa’asuamaleaui.
Newcastle have lost Tyson Gamble with Tyson Frizell not expected to play.
The best play in this game, with so many playmakers missing, is the under.
The Titans have named two hookers in the halves while the Knights have not topped 20 points in their last five including all three without Kalyn Ponga.
The under is 29-21 when the Titans are $2.50 or shorter while the Knights under angles here are plentiful. The under is 20-14 when the Knights play a team outside the Top 8 and 10-4 when they are interstate. The under is 62% when the Knights are off scoring 20 or fewer.
Insights
📈 Gold Coast’s Consistent Cover Performance: Gold Coast has been consistently covering the spread in recent games, achieving covers in all of their last 6 matches.
🏅 Newcastle’s Favourite Performance: As favourites, Newcastle has maintained a high cover rate, achieving covers in all 4 of the most recent games and maintaining a strong trend with 7 covers in the last 8 games.
🏟️ Newcastle at Suncorp Stadium: Newcastle has shown excellent performance at Suncorp Stadium, covering the spread in their last 4 appearances there.
Same Game Multi
Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the fastest man in the NRL and has 26 tries in 29 games.
David Armstrong has scored in two of his three NRL games and looks a real attacking weapon.
Value Bet
After missing last year with an ACL injury, Beau Fermor has worked himself back into the form that has had him in Origin contention the last few years. He is big odds to score having crossed 18 times in 49 starts in the NRL. Will get some opportunities.
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