An ordinary Warriors side has been further hurt by Covid making them very long odds to compete with the Eels on Friday.
Best Bet
We are not looking at a great betting game in the second-leg of the Friday double-header.
Parramatta are huge favourites and rightly so. They should have little trouble getting past this lacklustre Warriors team. They are awful favourites though covering just 4 of 13 when the expected winner while they have covered just 3 of 9 as a double digit favourite at CommBank.
The Warriors have covered just 2 of 15 night games and just 1 of 7 as an underdog of 14 or more.
The top play in this game is the over. The over has hit in 14 of 20 Warriors games including the last three. It is 9-5 when the Warriors are underdogs of 14 or more. The over has also hit at a clip of 63% when the Warriors play at night including the last five.
Same Game Multi
Maika Sivo has an excellent tryscoring record with 56 tries in 71 games. He has scored in two of three since his injury comeback and has 12 games scoring multiple tries.
Clint Gutherson has nine tries in his last 14 games and has three in his last five against the Warriors.
Value Bet
Isaiah Papalii takes on his former team and is in good tryscoring form. He has 14 tries in 41 games since joining the Eels and has scored six tries in his last eight games when playing on the edge. He has scored in two of his last three games overall.
Betseeker Bingo
Play Betseeker Bingo for NRL Tryscorers at TopSport! Here’s this week’s picks:
Best Bets
At least six of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 16.
Value Bets
At least four of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 16.