It is all on the line when the Eels host the Storm on Thursday night with the winner getting fourth spot and a second bite at the cherry and the loser set for a do-or-die finals run.
The football gods have shined by giving us this belter to kick off the final round of the season.
This is a game where Melbourne have historically lifted and Parramatta have traditionally wilted. That may well happen again but the numbers certainly make a compelling case for the Eels to win.
Parramatta have won their last three against the Storm including earlier this year. They have covered their last four and won both meetings at CommBank. The Eels have covered five of six as an underdog and 12 of 18 off scoring 20-plus.
The biggest push though comes from a trend of teams off scoring big. Teams off scoring 50-plus points have covered 20 of 29 matches since 2019. Attack indicates form.
Caution is advised. This is the Storm. They cover at 62% away from AAMI and have dealt the Eels plenty of heartache in big games. The numbers though make a compelling case for Parramatta.
Same Game Multi
Maika Sivo has been outstanding since returning from a knee injury with 11 tries in 11 games, failing to score in just one of his last eight matches.
Justin Olam has scored three tries in four games and tends to clump tryscoring performances together.
Dylan Brown has been in outstanding tryscoring form with 10 tries this season. He has scored three tries in his last four starts. He is a genuine gamebreaker who can cross at big odds.
Play Betseeker Bingo for NRL Tryscorers at TopSport! Here are this week’s selections.
At least six of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 25.
At least four of the following eight players to score a try in NRL Round 25.