Round 22 opens up with an interesting affair with Parramatta far from cooked as a big home underdog against a Storm team without Jahrome Hughes.
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Best Bet
Melbourne’s fears were somewhat eased during the week with news that Jahrome Hughes would potentially return during the finals series but they must navigate their way to September without him and that will likely mean Tyran Wishart at halfback and a return to relying on defence.
That suits the Eels well and makes them a nice bet getting a huge start at home.
Big home underdogs getting at least 10 points have covered at a clip of 70% the last four seasons and after Round 20 that number has jumped to 80%. This is a prime smash spot for the Eels.
Parramatta have also covered seven of 11 at CommBank.
This is a tough spot for the Storm too. They significantly under-index at night, covering just three of 11, while they have covered just two of eight interstate.
The Eels are a high confidence play.
Same Game Multi
Xavier Coates has 13 tries in 14 games this season including hat-tricks in two of his last five.
Zac Lomax has 23 tries in 33 games as a starting winger.
Sean Russell is in super form with four tries in seven games.
Value Bet
Storm hooker Harry Grant has four tries in 12 games this season and with his record against the Eels he looks a great bet to cross again. He has a remarkable eight tries in his last six games against Parramatta, scoring at least one in each.
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