St George Illawarra were humiliated in a 32-0 home shutout last week and that should spur them to a much better showing against a liberated Manly side that has been oversubscribed.
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Best Bet
Booing rang out across Kogarah last week as an embarassed Dragons were beaten 32-0 at home leaving coach Shane Flanagan shellshocked post-game. The club has put a hold on recruitment. The axe hangs close to the coach’s neck. Players have gone in for some honesty sessions.
Everything lines up for a major bounce back this week and the 8.5 points at home against the Sea Eagles seems utterly ridiculous. If this game was played two weeks back the Dragons would have been favoured by at least four.
The Dragons are 9-5 in the last 14 while they are 10-2 in Wollongong against the Sea Eagles. They have covered six of the last nine.
Home underdogs in the opening eight rounds cover at 62% dating back to 2008 while they are 18-12 ATS off conceding 30 or more. The Dragons are 30-21 ATS off a loss.
Manly have covered just three of 15 as a favourite away from Brookvale.
The plus is one of the better bets of Round 6.
Same Game Multi
Five of the last six meetings between these two have tallied 44 or fewer with those five all going under the total. The under is 16-9 when the Dragons play in Wollongong.
Tom Trbojevic is back to his healthy best this year with five tries in his four games.
Tyrell Sloan has crossed six times in six appearances against the Sea Eagles.
Value Bet
The Dragons go to their second rowers more than any team in the NRL and that is unlikely to change this week with Kyle Flanagan and Dan Atkinson remaining in the halves, even if they have switched jerseys. Luciano Leilua has been one of the Dragons’ best this year and scored a try in Round 3 against Parramatta.
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