Round 13 opens up with the Dragons hosting the Knights at Kogarah with both teams currently outside of the Top 8 looking in and in desperate need of a win.
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Best Bet
The NRL would struggle to find a less appealing game to kick off Round 13 but that will play right into the recommended bet.
The Knights are the lowest-scoring team in the competition, averaging an anemic 13.91 points per game. Their average combined total is a touch under 33 points. The Dragons have not played finals football since 2018 and entered the season as wooden spoon favourites.
The only way to confidently bet this one is to steam into the under.
These teams have a strong recent history of low-scorers. The under has hit in the last four and eight of the last 10. Eight of the last 10 have failed to break the 44 combined point mark.
The Knights are just a monster under team at present with an abhorrent attack and a competent defence. The under has hit in 12 of their last 14 with their last six road games going under. When they play a team outside of the Top 8, the under as hit in seven of the last eight.
We also see some strong under trends for the Dragons too. The under is 14-7 when the Dragons are favoured and 5-2 when they play at Kogarah at night.
This total is too big.
Same Game Multi
Fletcher Sharpe is leading Newcastle’s try tally with eight four-pointers in 11 games.
Christian Tuipulotu returns from injury and had seven tries in five games before his six-round absence.
Value Bet
Jacob Liddle is one of the most underrated players in the NRL and can find his way to the tryline. He scored a runaway 80-metre try with a goose step against the Broncos and now has six tries in 10 matches this year – all off the bench. This is a great price.
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